Cbarbhwux
0x030a01fff8762c0747b6dbc589b28ee6cea8acfc
- Realised P&L
- $97.3k
- Volume
- $5.11M
- Markets traded
- 458
- Open portfolio
- $6.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded458
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.032 | $6.57 | −$3.72 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.9kat 0.008Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
- +$7.0kat 0.460Will Trudeau resign Today?
- +$6.6kat 0.387US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
- +$6.3kat 0.412Trump cryptocurrency executive order in first week?
- +$5.1kat 0.570Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-13 12:50 | Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0493432779 | $10.29 |
| 08-12 19:56 | Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.003 | $75.00 |
| 08-12 19:55 | Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | SELL | 0.0101777028 | $102.27 |
| 06-13 16:48 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5942983631 | $2.1k |
| 06-13 16:48 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5597710804 | $635.77 |
| 06-13 16:47 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 | BUY | 0.7691009599 | $1.4k |
| 06-12 14:57 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 | BUY | 0.3895121843 | $175.67 |
| 06-12 14:57 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | BUY | 0.4090179888 | $341.29 |
| 06-12 14:57 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | BUY | 0.3993707184 | $837.73 |
| 06-12 14:57 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? | BUY | 0.4492775983 | $435.35 |
| 06-12 13:41 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | SELL | 0.2520712867 | $351.62 |
| 06-11 20:31 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | BUY | 0.36 | $90.42 |
| 06-11 20:08 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $2.33 |
| 06-11 20:02 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | BUY | 0.4 | $718.65 |
| 06-11 18:04 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | SELL | 0.31 | $310.00 |