kuyamkt
0x03053051a9b26116e532eeb9c6ec743354cb6d05
- Realised P&L
- $-2.78
- Volume
- $36.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,709
- Open portfolio
- $2.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,709
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 19? · No | 0.550 | 1.000 | $1.82 | +$0.82 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 21°C on September 19? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on September 19? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on September 19? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C or higher on September 19? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 15? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET · Down | 0.334 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.45at 0.295Solana Up or Down - February 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
- +$17.10at 0.702Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
- +$16.84at 0.655Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
- +$16.00at 0.714Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
- +$15.13at 0.665Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 17:19 | Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 17:19 | Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 21°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 17:16 | Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C or higher on September 19? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 17:15 | Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 17:15 | Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 02:12 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 02:11 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 03-25 20:55 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.13 | $0.78 |
| 03-25 20:55 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.14 | $0.83 |
| 03-25 20:55 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.14 | $0.83 |
| 03-25 20:55 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.14 | $0.83 |
| 03-25 20:55 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.13 | $0.78 |
| 03-25 20:55 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.13 | $0.78 |
| 03-16 03:10 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.22 | $1.30 |
| 03-16 03:10 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.17 | $1.01 |