ALULULU
0x0304976323881e21787f33a6eb1d876436ca020a
- Realised P&L
- $-101.38
- Volume
- $6.8k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $461.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.887 | 0.825 | $461.86 | −$34.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.62at 0.670Will Trump visit China by June 30?
- +$25.56at 0.900Will Trump visit China by May 31?
- +$25.35at 0.799Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$8.08at 0.929Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
- +$7.80at 0.770Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 13:49 | Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.89 | $370.27 |
| 06-28 13:52 | Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.84 | $529.80 |
| 06-06 07:20 | Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.79 | $36.34 |
| 06-04 03:14 | Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8 | $494.90 |
| 05-02 08:06 | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $230.00 |
| 05-02 08:05 | Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.76 | $237.99 |
| 04-30 01:40 | Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7599999978 | $238.00 |
| 04-29 23:58 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.69 | $248.46 |
| 03-22 08:58 | Will Trump visit China by June 30? | BUY | 0.6699999989 | $202.26 |
| 03-13 04:40 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8199999987 | $295.27 |
| 03-12 05:10 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3408231774 | $265.40 |
| 03-07 09:06 | US strike on Cuba by March 31? | SELL | 0.9304841833 | $57.65 |
| 02-26 02:46 | US strike on Cuba by March 31? | BUY | 0.9169999991 | $56.82 |
| 02-20 01:42 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2598043608 | $39.84 |
| 02-07 07:47 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5799999967 | $24.90 |