jiabajin
0x02fb6d3bbbae078ce55292a920b6829a346bfef0
- Realised P&L
- $8.26
- Volume
- $33.2k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $24.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? · No | 0.995 | 0.985 | $5.02 | −$0.05 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.945 | $4.82 | −$0.03 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.855 | $4.36 | −$0.48 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.755 | $3.85 | −$0.03 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.675 | $3.44 | +$0.38 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.555 | $2.83 | −$0.03 |
| TikTok sale announced by September 30? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.90at 0.500Predators vs. Sabres
- +$3.03at 0.811Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$2.71at 0.338Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$2.70at 0.338Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.20at 0.770Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 07:55 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.86 |
| 09-20 07:54 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.06 |
| 09-20 07:46 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $5.07 |
| 09-20 07:45 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.84 |
| 09-20 07:44 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.88 |
| 09-20 07:43 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.84 |
| 08-27 16:28 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.79 |
| 08-27 16:27 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.969 | $4.94 |
| 08-27 16:26 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.95 |
| 08-27 16:26 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 08-27 16:25 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $5.05 |
| 07-10 06:48 | Iran successfully targets shipping on July 9? | BUY | 0.994 | $5.07 |
| 07-10 06:47 | Iran successfully targets shipping on July 10? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.84 |
| 06-14 02:18 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | SELL | 0.997 | $5.08 |
| 06-14 02:12 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? | SELL | 0.96 | $4.90 |