0x02fA3F069f903Db2ACd5572B6951d5a3b5Dc04d4-1774214447731
0x02fa3f069f903db2acd5572b6951d5a3b5dc04d4
- Realised P&L
- $13.9k
- Volume
- $2.17M
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.6kat 0.198Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$10.3kat 0.225Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.1kat 0.296Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$2.4kat 0.783France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$2.3kat 0.746Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 17:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999999 | $200.00 |
| 10-03 16:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.0405848274 | $30.00 |
| 10-03 16:51 | Will Luxembourg win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |
| 10-03 16:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | SELL | 0.02 | $21.50 |
| 10-03 16:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999995 | $40.50 |
| 10-03 16:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BUY | 0.1807747756 | $159.50 |
| 10-03 02:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | BUY | 0.504815544 | $100.00 |
| 10-03 02:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | BUY | 0.1720363716 | $210.00 |
| 10-03 02:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5073817534 | $300.00 |
| 10-03 02:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | SELL | 0.4675144378 | $454.96 |
| 10-03 02:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5179077176 | $300.00 |
| 10-03 02:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5073203179 | $199.83 |
| 10-03 02:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5718779041 | $200.00 |
| 10-03 02:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5075569855 | $200.00 |
| 10-03 02:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999998 | $177.49 |