0x02ead8da8a84d8417ac30d13aeffca8c5e46b157
0x02ead8da8a84d8417ac30d13aeffca8c5e46b157
- Realised P&L
- $-5.71
- Volume
- $136.24
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $1.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.615 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.215 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET · Up | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET · Down | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.46at 1.020Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
- +$0.06at 0.903Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 21:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 21:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $1.13 |
| 10-03 21:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 21:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | SELL | 0.48 | $1.20 |
| 10-03 21:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.8699999652 | $3.00 |
| 10-03 21:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | SELL | 0.8 | $1.35 |
| 10-03 21:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 21:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 21:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $2.02 |
| 10-03 20:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 20:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | SELL | 0.8 | $1.78 |
| 10-03 20:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 20:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 20:55 | Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 20:55 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |