PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MattPMP

0x02e822e85dd7fe0b9aa0fc9771aa1fa5afccd63e

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$202.8k
Markets traded
67
Open portfolio
$2.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded67
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4200.595$629.50+$185.15
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3900.855$513.00+$279.00
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.004$292.50$227.50
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0130.018$262.50+$67.50
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · Yes0.4100.315$252.00$76.00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3700.305$183.00$39.00
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2600.070$182.00$494.00
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.5800.855$85.50+$27.50
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0180.006$72.80$128.71
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.1500.040$31.60$88.40
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0150.004$31.50$103.50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.5700.000$0.00$684.00
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? · No0.1090.000$0.00$210.71
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$251.99
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$224.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-04 20:26Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?BUY0.13$9.30
05-28 03:12Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.013$195.00
05-22 02:30Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?SELL0.6570603412$328.52
05-20 17:57Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.37$204.05
05-20 17:44Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.018$88.96
05-16 22:27Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?SELL0.971$61.35
05-14 02:59US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.58$21.13
05-14 02:51Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.31$8.75
05-06 17:29Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.62$7.44
04-15 19:16US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?BUY0.12$168.00
04-01 19:17US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.57$102.60
04-01 19:16Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?SELL0.999$99.90
03-06 15:522026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseSELL0.4$319.99
03-05 22:06Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?BUY0.24$55.97
03-03 16:48Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?BUY0.61$45.90