juaniones908
0x02d90e42068bc296a57438a0dc20f8ea10aef6d6
- Realised P&L
- $-16.17
- Volume
- $45.8k
- Markets traded
- 210
- Open portfolio
- $251.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded210
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 22? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $251.13 | +$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.49at 0.965Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 21?
- +$5.80at 0.860Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 10?
- +$4.71at 0.830Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 17?
- +$3.94at 0.974Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 13?
- +$2.88at 0.980Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 10:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $251.00 |
| 09-19 00:05 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.997999996 | $250.00 |
| 09-17 05:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $250.00 |
| 09-14 13:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $249.00 |
| 09-14 02:40 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.999 | $249.00 |
| 09-11 14:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 12? | BUY | 0.998 | $248.00 |
| 09-08 23:56 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 9? | BUY | 0.998999997 | $248.00 |
| 09-08 01:31 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $105.00 |
| 09-07 02:55 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 8? | BUY | 0.997 | $248.00 |
| 09-05 00:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $248.00 |
| 09-03 23:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 4? | BUY | 0.997 | $247.00 |
| 09-01 07:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $226.00 |
| 09-01 01:15 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in August? | BUY | 0.9955865592 | $245.00 |
| 08-28 23:45 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on August 29? | BUY | 0.9977212488 | $245.00 |
| 08-28 01:06 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 28? | BUY | 0.996 | $244.00 |