PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

pol100u

0x02d6db350f7182192d6a11fce124dad198bd87df

Realised P&L
$-58.24
Volume
$16.6k
Markets traded
112
Open portfolio
$54.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded112
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 8? · No0.9910.991$54.00+$0.00
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? · No0.8310.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%? · No0.8500.000$0.00−$8.00
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? · No0.7600.000$0.00−$3.00
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? · No0.7990.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? · Yes0.1870.000$0.00−$50.40
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20? · No0.8700.000$0.00−$19.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 08:58Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 8?BUY0.9909999999$54.00
09-05 05:12Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 August 31-September 6?BUY0.997$54.00
08-21 03:24Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?BUY0.999$14.00
08-21 03:23Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.999$14.72
08-12 05:09Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.999$20.00
08-12 05:09Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.996$18.00
08-12 05:08Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.999$16.00
07-23 05:05Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 26?BUY0.999$13.00
07-23 05:04Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 July 20-26?BUY0.999$11.00
07-23 05:04Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in July?BUY0.9989999296$14.00
07-23 05:04Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?BUY0.999$15.00
07-02 02:56Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.1875$50.40
06-25 08:29Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.76$2.00
06-25 08:29Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.1299999467$2.00
06-25 08:29Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.6699998437$3.00