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0x02d5873425464fe044d99ae815a2767a975dcf22
- Realised P&L
- $-19.10
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $959.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration47.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.585 | $450.91 | −$11.56 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.325 | $212.85 | −$3.27 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $99.95 | −$0.05 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No | 0.937 | 0.936 | $99.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.115 | $95.83 | −$4.17 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:39 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.33 | $216.12 |
| 09-17 02:14 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5999999994 | $195.77 |
| 09-17 01:55 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1199999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 01:31 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6 | $266.70 |
| 09-17 01:27 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999971 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 01:19 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.9369999997 | $100.00 |