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0x02d5873425464fe044d99ae815a2767a975dcf22
- Realised P&L
- $-981.92
- Volume
- $83.3k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.055 | $2.0k | −$1.1k |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · Yes | 0.011 | 0.005 | $127.88 | −$128.93 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.788 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$940.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.59at 0.894NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
- +$18.17at 0.612Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
- +$8.60at 0.929Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$0.43at 0.937China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
- +$0.39at 0.963Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 12:36 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 14:37 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.79 | $729.30 |
| 10-25 14:36 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.94 | $729.30 |
| 10-25 14:35 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.79 | $12.64 |
| 10-25 14:33 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $10.27 |
| 10-24 06:08 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9399999999 | $620.00 |
| 10-24 06:06 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.972 | $619.58 |
| 10-20 04:32 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.0100499414 | $24.00 |
| 10-20 04:31 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8599999997 | $100.00 |
| 10-20 04:31 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299767505 | $100.00 |
| 10-20 04:30 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.64 | $228.76 |
| 10-16 11:51 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7830555638 | $198.99 |
| 10-16 11:50 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.64 | $202.86 |
| 10-15 15:20 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1 | $78.32 |
| 10-15 15:19 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.011 | $200.00 |