Bort0928
0x02d3d693c4d858fd0df06e9ff338cf05d70f9e7e
- Realised P&L
- $-59.76
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $207.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? · Yes | 0.387 | 0.715 | $207.17 | +$95.17 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$111.32 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.94at 0.137Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-0.28at 0.113Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-37.92at 0.369Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 20:27 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.115 | $10.45 |
| 07-13 23:03 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.212 | $15.82 |
| 06-17 17:11 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0439999958 | $10.00 |
| 06-17 17:11 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 06-17 17:11 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1339999896 | $10.00 |
| 06-17 17:09 | Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | SELL | 0.24 | $66.66 |
| 06-12 08:01 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.046 | $6.55 |
| 06-11 06:25 | Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | BUY | 0.3599999987 | $100.00 |
| 06-11 06:25 | Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | BUY | 0.3865486714 | $112.00 |
| 02-23 13:07 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.829999997 | $111.32 |