Giuliano303
0x02d0ef2ae41ecd0b184e6f2c260f984247d21784
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $22.0k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $232.65
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by September 30? · No | 0.940 | 0.985 | $48.77 | +$2.23 |
| Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · No | 0.960 | 0.963 | $47.79 | +$0.15 |
| Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.936 | $46.29 | −$0.67 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 · No | 0.930 | 0.910 | $45.56 | −$1.00 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CT-04 House seat? · No | 0.949 | 0.980 | $44.23 | +$1.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$910.00at 0.500Solana Up or Down on August 22?
- +$819.00at 0.500XRP Up or Down on August 8?
- +$790.00at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down on August 6?
- +$229.03at 0.630Dota 2: MOUZ vs OG (BO1)
- +$212.84at 0.320UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-24 08:17 | Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 04-02 11:45 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.966 | $19.32 |
| 02-20 11:43 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.966 | $22.86 |
| 01-13 07:14 | Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG (BO3) | BUY | 0.66 | $304.92 |
| 08-14 09:44 | Ethereum Up or Down on August 16? | BUY | 0.5 | $810.00 |
| 01-20 10:23 | Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.3799879513 | $76.00 |
| 01-17 09:55 | Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.4180506107 | $82.80 |
| 01-16 12:59 | Pacers vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.4499997453 | $90.00 |
| 01-14 11:12 | Stars vs. Maple Leafs | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 12-24 12:03 | Chiefs vs. Steelers | BUY | 0.6 | $120.00 |
| 12-02 12:43 | Heat vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.81 | $162.00 |
| 11-29 07:56 | Oklahoma State vs. Colorado | BUY | 0.86 | $172.00 |
| 11-26 07:43 | Bucks vs. Heat | BUY | 0.45 | $90.00 |
| 11-20 14:06 | Pelicans vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.89 | $89.00 |
| 10-02 11:43 | Will Travis Kelce endorse Kamala Harris? | BUY | 0.85 | $85.00 |