PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

VulcanDust

0x02d07568a173b384e0dd20ad303dfe81ec2eb6ab

Realised P&L
$-812.26
Volume
$26.5k
Markets traded
69
Open portfolio
$126.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded69
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat? · Yes0.3270.175$80.18$69.82
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.2250.105$46.69$53.31
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$20.00
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$20.00
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$20.00
US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$100.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1060.000$0.00$50.00
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00$50.00
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$50.00
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$130.00
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-27 16:48Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1059999982$50.00
05-27 16:46Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?SELL0.9429969641$111.82
05-11 21:29Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?BUY0.8432539677$100.00
05-11 17:43Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.2199999968$50.00
05-11 17:43Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat?BUY0.3230650988$50.00
05-10 18:53Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.2899999981$100.00
05-10 17:26Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.2899999956$30.00
05-10 00:00Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.2299999968$50.00
05-09 23:58Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat?BUY0.3296073355$100.00
03-25 22:04US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.2$100.00
12-19 16:16Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?BUY0.0995398769$20.00
12-19 16:16Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?BUY0.032$20.00
12-19 16:08TikTok sale announced in 2025?SELL0.7531973115$80.13
12-10 17:37Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?BUY0.3299999922$20.00
12-10 17:36Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.81$20.25