333777
0x02c50d55157cd98a6ee515a380a86472d7038356
- Realised P&L
- $-6.8k
- Volume
- $2.17M
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $36.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.8kat 0.530Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$10.1kat 0.830Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
- +$4.2kat 0.017Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.1kat 0.420Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$1.5kat 0.270Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-29 21:20 | Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.2040841056 | $90.95 |
| 04-29 21:16 | Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.24 | $54.00 |
| 04-29 10:45 | Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.14975548 | $748.78 |
| 03-30 21:16 | Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.044 | $6.91 |
| 03-06 17:43 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.073 | $131.91 |
| 03-06 17:42 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.017 | $321.51 |
| 02-24 13:11 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.018 | $2.4k |
| 02-24 13:10 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.066 | $99.66 |
| 01-28 06:48 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.017 | $1.2k |
| 01-23 20:28 | Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.004 | $500.00 |
| 01-23 20:25 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.016 | $352.00 |
| 01-23 20:22 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open? | BUY | 0.02 | $380.00 |
| 01-23 16:02 | Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.008 | $244.13 |
| 01-23 16:02 | Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.008 | $149.14 |
| 01-23 16:02 | Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.008 | $6.72 |