ExperimentalDude
0x02b640e5686c95289f60fe9090c1889e409b8f5f
- Realised P&L
- $-3.4k
- Volume
- $667.8k
- Markets traded
- 7,615
- Open portfolio
- $149.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,615
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.101Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
- +$624.57at 0.017Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$548.22at 0.676Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?
- +$498.45at 0.147Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?
- +$434.81at 0.694Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:13 | Nashville SC vs. New York Red Bulls: 1st Half O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.041 | $0.28 |
| 11-01 22:08 | Utah vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.92 | $0.57 |
| 11-01 22:08 | Utah vs. Flyers | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 20:49 | Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.76 |
| 11-01 20:49 | Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 11-01 20:49 | Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 11-01 20:45 | Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 11-01 20:45 | Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 11-01 20:45 | Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 11-01 17:53 | Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw? | SELL | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 11-01 16:58 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.95 |
| 11-01 16:57 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.23 |
| 11-01 16:57 | Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5) | SELL | 0.87 | $0.50 |
| 11-01 16:57 | Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Liverpool FC O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.32 | $0.44 |
| 11-01 16:57 | Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |