0x02aF69A5C73eA09D030F00A79D07739f5335E93d-1775173086414
0x02af69a5c73ea09d030f00a79d07739f5335e93d
- Realised P&L
- $-216.08
- Volume
- $53.4k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $278.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.050 | $165.00 | −$335.00 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes | 0.331 | 0.075 | $113.41 | −$386.59 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? · No | 0.461 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? · No | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$483.92at 0.670US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 19:45 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | BUY | 0.4610165132 | $500.00 |
| 04-08 19:43 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.3306723927 | $500.00 |
| 04-08 19:42 | Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999998 | $500.00 |
| 04-06 12:28 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.005 | $200.00 |
| 04-04 16:21 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.8 | $3.0k |
| 04-02 23:49 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.6699999999 | $2.5k |