0x53fDD111704959330E9d7EB75eb35272382BE793-1773005234753
0x02a7b16843caa84934b0c0ac88e135137812885a
- Realised P&L
- $-3.27
- Volume
- $954.51
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $5.56
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.070 | $2.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.081 | $1.61 | −$0.39 |
| Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.018 | $1.03 | −$0.97 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.070 | $0.93 | −$1.07 |
| Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.80at 0.006Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?
- +$-1.07at 0.011Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 18:33 | Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? | BUY | 0.0339999838 | $2.00 |
| 08-12 13:49 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.14999994 | $2.00 |
| 08-12 13:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-12 12:51 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0040061634 | $1.00 |
| 08-11 14:38 | Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999688 | $2.00 |
| 08-11 14:32 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0100187625 | $1.00 |
| 08-11 14:23 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 08-11 14:17 | Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? | BUY | 0.1001143757 | $2.00 |
| 08-11 14:16 | Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 08-11 14:16 | Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |