PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cdE0e

0x02a25434583ded6b474f748d87a9a731934a94c2

Realised P&L
$-11.72
Volume
$110.3k
Markets traded
107
Open portfolio
$60.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded107
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September? · No0.9991.000$22.00+$0.02
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.7000.690$13.80−$0.20
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.7000.645$12.90−$1.10
Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.5000.575$11.50+$1.50
Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$1.05
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$0.65
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? · No0.9500.000$0.00−$9.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $106,000 October 20-26? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00−$7.20
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025? · Yes0.1550.000$0.00−$1.86
Will BNB dip to $800 in January? · No0.9790.000$0.00−$12.73
Will Bitcoin dip to $104,000 October 20-26? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$4.80
Will Biden pardon Trump? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$0.25
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series? · Yes0.1790.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$4.20
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$0.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 05:10Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?BUY0.999$21.98
09-26 05:08Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.984$21.65
09-26 05:07Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027?BUY0.5$10.00
09-26 05:07Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027?BUY0.7$14.00
08-19 06:39Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?BUY0.996$10.96
08-19 06:38Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7$21.00
08-19 06:37Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$11.20
06-05 09:01Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?BUY0.997$43.87
06-05 09:01Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?BUY0.998$65.87
06-05 09:00Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.18$10.80
06-05 08:59Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.998$11.98
06-05 08:59Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.998$12.97
05-15 10:16Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?BUY0.997$14.96
05-15 10:15Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?BUY0.999$20.98
05-15 10:15Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in May?BUY0.997$119.64