a.b.c.d.e
0x029ab7437ab114777bc1b23a5b72966ff37393fb
- Realised P&L
- $92.40
- Volume
- $112.7k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $60.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.675 | $33.75 | +$0.75 |
| EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.540 | $26.46 | +$3.92 |
| Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs · Tundra Esports | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$62.06 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15? · No | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$59.99 |
| Valorant: TYLOO vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2 · JD Gaming | 0.980 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$145.63at 0.971Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Virtus.pro vs FORZE Esports (BO3) - MLBB Continental Championships Regular Season
- +$61.79at 0.800Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- +$45.00at 0.500Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage
- +$30.52at 0.527Will Andrew Ward / Jake Long win Team Roping at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?
- +$26.25at 0.150Will Stetson Wright win Bull Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-18 18:04 | Will Zeke Thurston win Saddle Bronc Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend? | SELL | 0.17 | $16.31 |
| 05-16 17:13 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15? | BUY | 0.003 | $60.00 |
| 05-16 12:25 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.989 | $247.25 |
| 05-16 12:16 | Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $32.80 |
| 05-15 15:12 | Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron MY by VIT vs AC Esports (BO3) - MPL Malaysia Regular Season | BUY | 0.98 | $245.00 |
| 05-15 14:46 | Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Virtus.pro vs FORZE Esports (BO3) - MLBB Continental Championships Regular Season | BUY | 0.97 | $4.8k |
| 05-14 19:47 | Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 05-14 19:30 | Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $23.60 |
| 05-09 12:05 | Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage | SELL | 0.28 | $84.00 |
| 05-09 11:40 | Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs | BUY | 0.001 | $57.73 |
| 05-09 09:42 | Will Cerebras' market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 05-09 09:42 | Will Stetson Wright win Bull Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend? | SELL | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 05-09 09:40 | Will 0 contenders win the jackpot at The American Rodeo Championship Weekend 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $27.00 |
| 05-09 09:39 | Will Tanner Tomlinson / Kaden Profili win Team Roping at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 05-09 09:39 | Will Kolton Schmidt / Jonathan Torres win Team Roping at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend? | SELL | 0.92 | $4.60 |