0x028be7496302642b893fdd61a83abe44c3644ad0
0x028be7496302642b893fdd61a83abe44c3644ad0
- Realised P&L
- $3.9k
- Volume
- $61.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,938
- Open portfolio
- $160.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded1,938
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.003Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
- +$180.46at 0.675Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$159.84at 0.075Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
- +$111.59at 0.645Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$60.48at 0.812Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 12:37 | China PR vs. Maldives: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.9349999961 | $1.19 |
| 09-24 12:37 | China PR vs. Maldives: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.9349999961 | $1.19 |
| 09-24 12:36 | China PR vs. Maldives: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.9349999961 | $1.19 |
| 09-24 12:36 | China PR vs. Maldives: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.9339999529 | $1.19 |
| 09-24 12:36 | China PR vs. Maldives: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.9339999529 | $1.19 |
| 09-24 12:36 | China PR vs. Maldives: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.9339999529 | $1.19 |
| 09-24 12:36 | China PR vs. Maldives: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.9319999718 | $1.19 |
| 09-24 12:36 | China PR vs. Maldives: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.9319999718 | $1.19 |
| 09-24 12:36 | China PR vs. Maldives: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.9319999718 | $1.19 |
| 09-24 12:36 | China PR vs. Maldives: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.9299999922 | $1.19 |
| 09-24 10:35 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.7199999596 | $4.28 |
| 09-24 10:35 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999393 | $5.46 |
| 09-24 10:26 | Counter-Strike: Saint Sinners vs KUUSAMO.gg - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.4962945101 | $39.05 |
| 09-24 10:22 | Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? | BUY | 0.8 | $3.85 |
| 09-24 10:18 | Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.31 |