0x028be7496302642b893fdd61a83abe44c3644ad0
- Realised P&L
- $22.55
- Volume
- $21.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,309
- Open portfolio
- $170.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,309
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexander Bublik Win the Cincinnati Open? · No | 0.994 | 0.979 | $37.66 | −$0.58 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 10? · Yes | 0.693 | 0.450 | $21.86 | −$11.79 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 10? · No | 0.977 | 0.945 | $20.99 | −$0.71 |
| Will it rain in Dubai on August 9? · No | 0.940 | 0.980 | $19.47 | +$0.79 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 10? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.993 | $19.25 | +$3.74 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 10? · No | 0.985 | 0.975 | $17.01 | −$0.17 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 10? · No | 0.768 | 1.000 | $16.27 | +$3.77 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 10? · Yes | 0.372 | 0.805 | $7.27 | +$3.91 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 10? · No | 0.780 | 0.740 | $0.98 | −$0.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 10? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.007 | $0.13 | −$2.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.53at 0.271Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 31?
- +$16.05at 0.688Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 7?
- +$15.95at 0.127Solana Up or Down - July 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
- +$15.23at 0.698Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 9?
- +$14.58at 0.861Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-10 11:43 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.4959612278 | $6.14 |
| 08-10 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.6982882154 | $5.14 |
| 08-10 11:33 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.7754850066 | $22.37 |
| 08-10 11:18 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.7799999849 | $1.03 |
| 08-10 09:55 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 10? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.33 |
| 08-10 09:50 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 10? | BUY | 0.9847210042 | $17.18 |
| 08-10 09:49 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 10? | SELL | 0.9 | $12.21 |
| 08-10 09:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5857142857 | $7.38 |
| 08-10 08:55 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 10? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.40 |
| 08-10 08:55 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 10? | BUY | 0.7131630612 | $9.68 |
| 08-10 08:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 10? | BUY | 0.3722231288 | $3.36 |
| 08-10 08:24 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 10? | SELL | 0.6 | $8.99 |
| 08-10 07:23 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.8 | $15.51 |
| 08-10 07:23 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.1699999557 | $2.99 |
| 08-10 07:20 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 10? | SELL | 0.66 | $0.07 |