PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

isihiah

0x028698b48cdead485114e483b2cb41ae0b7eeb6c

Realised P&L
$-14.8k
Volume
$82.6k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$47.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-17.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2000.019$47.50$452.50
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday? · No0.4990.000$0.00$150.00
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in July? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$200.00
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.8040.000$0.00$5.9k
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.2440.000$0.00$100.00
Maduro out by November 30, 2025? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00$50.00
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance · United States0.5300.000$0.00$300.00
Maduro out in 2025? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$300.00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.3750.000$0.00$1000.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7100.000$0.00$1.0k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April? · No0.4410.000$0.00$833.36
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30? · Yes0.1420.000$0.00$499.18
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31? · No0.5800.000$0.00$299.91
Major cyberattack on Iran in June? · No0.1050.000$0.00$52.50
US forces enter Iran by March 14? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 20:23Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.7453283434$836.99
08-23 11:16Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsBUY0.75$200.00
08-22 10:09Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.63984004$200.00
08-20 15:10NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.6528599602$200.00
07-27 07:36Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.8069999993$785.99
07-26 10:34Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierBUY0.64$385.00
07-25 09:47Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Infinite (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-InBUY0.6199999997$361.86
07-20 12:52Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?BUY0.6836206472$700.00
07-06 07:35United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBUY0.53$300.00
07-06 07:33Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.999$1.3k
05-29 15:44MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.2442429637$100.00
05-28 08:42Set Handicap: Nakashima (-1.5) vs Assche (+1.5)BUY0.52$300.00
05-26 03:46Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.6179715436$786.00
05-23 14:43Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsBUY0.4$200.00
05-23 11:59Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.64$445.00