isihiah
0x028698b48cdead485114e483b2cb41ae0b7eeb6c
- Realised P&L
- $-14.8k
- Volume
- $82.6k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $47.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-17.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$975.63at 0.446US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
- +$836.46at 0.493Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Katie Boulter vs Jaqueline Cristian
- +$611.42at 0.088Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
- +$599.73at 0.250Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
- +$553.14at 0.580Swiss Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Raphael Collignon
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 20:23 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.7453283434 | $836.99 |
| 08-23 11:16 | Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.75 | $200.00 |
| 08-22 10:09 | Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.63984004 | $200.00 |
| 08-20 15:10 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6528599602 | $200.00 |
| 07-27 07:36 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8069999993 | $785.99 |
| 07-26 10:34 | Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier | BUY | 0.64 | $385.00 |
| 07-25 09:47 | Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Infinite (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In | BUY | 0.6199999997 | $361.86 |
| 07-20 12:52 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.6836206472 | $700.00 |
| 07-06 07:35 | United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.53 | $300.00 |
| 07-06 07:33 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.3k |
| 05-29 15:44 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2442429637 | $100.00 |
| 05-28 08:42 | Set Handicap: Nakashima (-1.5) vs Assche (+1.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $300.00 |
| 05-26 03:46 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.6179715436 | $786.00 |
| 05-23 14:43 | Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs | BUY | 0.4 | $200.00 |
| 05-23 11:59 | Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.64 | $445.00 |