NickChoLo
0x0272429363a8f6ffefdafe77b9cb7a2283a3ffb0
- Realised P&L
- $169.14
- Volume
- $70.8k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $28.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October? · No | 0.950 | 0.970 | $28.75 | +$0.58 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.71at 0.970Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in August?
- +$52.27at 0.975Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?
- +$45.04at 0.963Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?
- +$42.52at 0.913Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April?
- +$35.00at 0.985Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 05:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September? | SELL | 0.997 | $2.4k |
| 09-02 14:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September? | BUY | 0.9734194814 | $2.4k |
| 08-26 09:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in August? | BUY | 0.9857914886 | $2.3k |
| 08-26 09:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? | SELL | 0.9974812954 | $2.3k |
| 08-20 11:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? | BUY | 0.988830489 | $2.3k |
| 08-04 07:47 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in August? | BUY | 0.9677866126 | $2.2k |
| 07-29 10:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.3k |
| 07-07 08:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.2k |
| 07-06 12:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July? | SELL | 0.95 | $2.2k |
| 07-06 07:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.2k |
| 06-25 14:03 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? | BUY | 0.034 | $13.60 |
| 06-25 14:00 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? | BUY | 0.033 | $17.95 |
| 06-16 07:39 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June? | SELL | 0.9931558842 | $2.2k |
| 06-08 08:00 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June? | BUY | 0.92895 | $371.58 |
| 06-05 15:47 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June? | SELL | 0.8799958069 | $2.1k |