caaw
0x0269f7f82e85313004304da1392986922671030c
- Realised P&L
- $-178.42
- Volume
- $16.5k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $53.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.530 | $53.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$120.55at 0.832Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 26?
- +$120.54at 0.746Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 18?
- +$120.00at 0.749Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 25?
- +$119.89at 0.749Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 24?
- +$119.45at 0.748Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-14 09:26 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | SELL | 0.257 | $66.80 |
| 03-25 10:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 26? | BUY | 0.998 | $239.42 |
| 03-24 10:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 25? | BUY | 0.998 | $239.19 |
| 03-23 15:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 24? | BUY | 0.997999999 | $238.96 |
| 03-21 01:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $238.50 |
| 03-20 08:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 21? | BUY | 0.996 | $237.80 |
| 03-18 06:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $237.57 |
| 03-17 13:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 18? | BUY | 0.9919999843 | $39.50 |
| 03-17 13:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 18? | BUY | 0.991 | $196.21 |
| 03-16 13:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on March 17? | BUY | 0.997 | $235.25 |
| 03-14 02:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $235.02 |
| 03-13 00:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 13? | BUY | 0.998 | $234.78 |
| 03-10 08:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 11? | BUY | 0.9974680564 | $316.28 |
| 03-08 01:49 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | BUY | 0.8299999997 | $312.52 |
| 03-07 07:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 7? | BUY | 0.996 | $311.89 |