PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

caaw

0x0269f7f82e85313004304da1392986922671030c

Realised P&L
$-178.42
Volume
$16.5k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$53.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.8300.530$53.00$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-14 09:26Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?SELL0.257$66.80
03-25 10:15Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 26?BUY0.998$239.42
03-24 10:30Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 25?BUY0.998$239.19
03-23 15:09Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 24?BUY0.997999999$238.96
03-21 01:36Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 22?BUY0.998$238.50
03-20 08:27Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 21?BUY0.996$237.80
03-18 06:29Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 20?BUY0.998$237.57
03-17 13:06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 18?BUY0.9919999843$39.50
03-17 13:06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 18?BUY0.991$196.21
03-16 13:49Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on March 17?BUY0.997$235.25
03-14 02:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 16?BUY0.998$235.02
03-13 00:15Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 13?BUY0.998$234.78
03-10 08:33Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 11?BUY0.9974680564$316.28
03-08 01:49Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?BUY0.8299999997$312.52
03-07 07:58Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 7?BUY0.996$311.89