0x0268FFBe5DB17F5B4F2F230B3F7bdB5f86a1638B-1778327084671
0x0268ffbe5db17f5b4f2f230b3f7bdb5f86a1638b
- Realised P&L
- $28.21
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $442.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? · No | 0.815 | 0.953 | $175.25 | +$25.25 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? · No | 0.780 | 1.000 | $128.21 | +$28.21 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · Yes | 0.776 | 0.901 | $116.08 | +$16.08 |
| Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.018 | $22.07 | −$82.93 |
| Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.049 | $0.77 | −$0.23 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-26 14:46 | Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? | BUY | 0.7799999995 | $100.00 |
| 05-26 14:44 | Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.0892207936 | $100.00 |
| 05-25 13:44 | Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.0693025269 | $5.00 |
| 05-25 13:44 | Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.0632536074 | $1.00 |
| 05-25 13:43 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.7761912291 | $100.00 |
| 05-09 14:17 | Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.8179551115 | $100.00 |
| 05-09 14:14 | Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.8099999977 | $50.00 |