PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Fain

0x0262c1d06bb33ac08f00bede1856269d162ea9d2

Realised P&L
$6.6k
Volume
$1.36M
Markets traded
1,335
Open portfolio
$8.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,335
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kash Patel out by December 31? · No0.4500.775$6.8k+$2.9k
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? · No0.8100.770$310.68$16.09
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5170.487$178.52$10.69
Will Lighter dip to $2.5 before 2027? · No0.5710.735$120.67+$27.00
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? · Yes0.1590.115$119.91$45.40
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026? · No0.7020.760$117.29+$8.95
Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in September? · No0.9020.895$107.40$0.90
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? · No0.9000.875$83.19$2.38
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · No0.5140.385$77.00$25.76
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? · Yes0.9330.561$67.32$44.64
Will UNI reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5570.920$64.40+$25.40
Will UNI dip to $2.00 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8920.920$52.44+$1.59
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.7600.505$50.50$25.50
Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027? · No0.9000.915$45.75+$0.75
Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2027? · No0.9700.960$42.15$0.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 22:24Tokenized stocks available on Robinhood by June 30, 2027?BUY0.69$13.80
09-17 21:14US strike on Mexico by December 31?SELL0.92$18.40
09-17 18:30Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027?BUY0.82$10.35
09-16 02:43Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.992$49.60
09-14 05:10Will Lighter dip to $2.5 before 2027?BUY0.71$14.20
09-11 02:17Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?BUY0.05$0.37
09-10 12:51Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?SELL0.7712616615$34.72
09-10 12:50Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?SELL0.79$74.06
09-07 16:52Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?BUY0.06$0.06
09-05 19:17Will Lighter dip to $2.5 before 2027?BUY0.7$27.45
09-03 14:36Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?SELL0.998$279.44
09-03 13:48Will Lighter dip to $3 before 2027?BUY0.33$6.93
09-03 04:48Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?BUY0.88$17.60
09-03 02:40Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?SELL0.98575$19.71
08-31 04:46Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in August?BUY0.99$4.95