Fain
0x0262c1d06bb33ac08f00bede1856269d162ea9d2
- Realised P&L
- $6.6k
- Volume
- $1.36M
- Markets traded
- 1,335
- Open portfolio
- $8.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,335
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$874.08at 0.960Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
- +$815.66at 0.986Kash Patel out by June 30?
- +$512.74at 0.446Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?
- +$512.55at 0.512Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?
- +$452.77at 0.870Kash Patel out by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 22:24 | Tokenized stocks available on Robinhood by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.69 | $13.80 |
| 09-17 21:14 | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | SELL | 0.92 | $18.40 |
| 09-17 18:30 | Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027? | BUY | 0.82 | $10.35 |
| 09-16 02:43 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.992 | $49.60 |
| 09-14 05:10 | Will Lighter dip to $2.5 before 2027? | BUY | 0.71 | $14.20 |
| 09-11 02:17 | Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.37 |
| 09-10 12:51 | Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | SELL | 0.7712616615 | $34.72 |
| 09-10 12:50 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | SELL | 0.79 | $74.06 |
| 09-07 16:52 | Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.06 |
| 09-05 19:17 | Will Lighter dip to $2.5 before 2027? | BUY | 0.7 | $27.45 |
| 09-03 14:36 | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | SELL | 0.998 | $279.44 |
| 09-03 13:48 | Will Lighter dip to $3 before 2027? | BUY | 0.33 | $6.93 |
| 09-03 04:48 | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | BUY | 0.88 | $17.60 |
| 09-03 02:40 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.98575 | $19.71 |
| 08-31 04:46 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in August? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |