PolyBot

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Traders

aarson

0x0258ae2c0ca6c6890a6159e197df9403cb2f13bf

Realised P&L
$1.6k
Volume
$249.9k
Markets traded
1,562
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,562
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 14-20? · No0.7960.999$309.54+$62.64
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 14-20? · No0.9310.999$299.70+$20.40
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September? · No0.8500.977$293.10+$38.10
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? · No0.7100.966$289.64+$76.65
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September? · No0.8470.850$255.00+$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? · No0.9010.955$190.90+$10.70
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September? · No0.7800.765$153.00$3.00
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? · No0.8800.924$92.40+$4.40
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · Yes0.2300.495$54.45+$29.15
Will XRP reach $1.50 September 14-20? · No0.8390.583$53.01$23.34
Will Solana reach $120 September 14-20? · No0.8470.489$48.90$35.80
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? · $600.9500.310$31.05$63.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 01:00Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)BUY0.45$9.00
09-19 01:00San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles DodgersBUY0.27$10.80
09-19 00:58Will Solana reach $120 September 14-20?BUY0.847$60.98
09-16 04:19Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 14-20?BUY0.8$160.00
09-16 04:18Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 14-20?BUY0.79$27.65
09-12 04:45Will Ethereum reach $2,600 September 7-13?BUY0.86$172.00
09-10 00:29Patriots vs. SeahawksBUY0.41$20.50
09-10 00:29Patriots vs. SeahawksBUY0.41$41.00
09-10 00:19Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)BUY0.57$57.00
09-08 22:22Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles DodgersBUY0.74$222.00
09-08 06:08Will Ethereum reach $2,600 September 7-13?BUY0.64$64.00
09-08 06:06Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 7-13?BUY0.2$20.00
09-08 06:06Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 September 7-13?BUY0.62$62.00
09-08 06:04Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.66$66.00
09-08 00:13Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles DodgersBUY0.63$126.00