0x023e9FC05AE2d628dC79feBD4907EBBE8a2Cd4D2-1733499243576
0x023e9fc05ae2d628dc79febd4907ebbe8a2cd4d2
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $92.0k
- Markets traded
- 520
- Open portfolio
- $996.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded520
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.612Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$365.30at 0.510Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $105K on May 19 at 5 PM ET?
- +$230.51at 0.679Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
- +$228.64at 0.510Canada vs. USA
- +$222.15at 0.530Maple Leafs vs. Rangers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 20:31 | Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.6799999998 | $657.80 |
| 10-15 20:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-15 20:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2043795617 | $100.00 |
| 10-15 20:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4PM ET | SELL | 0.3521720167 | $204.28 |
| 10-15 20:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.3480086941 | $100.00 |
| 10-15 20:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.3416300631 | $100.00 |
| 10-15 20:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.2199999998 | $100.00 |
| 10-15 18:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | SELL | 0.63 | $124.14 |
| 10-15 18:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5074626854 | $100.00 |
| 10-15 14:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | SELL | 0.4177980117 | $132.38 |
| 10-15 14:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.3155971043 | $100.00 |
| 10-15 14:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | SELL | 0.91 | $35.00 |
| 10-15 14:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.6499999987 | $25.00 |
| 10-15 14:23 | Olbia: Jacob Fearnley vs Jan Kumstat | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 14:23 | Lisbon: Francisca Jorge vs Francesca Jones | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $5.00 |