0x023A1f05ca9E9Bb65AdA839397b15d52eCe14FBC-1730858088502
0x023a1f05ca9e9bb65ada839397b15d52ece14fbc
- Realised P&L
- $-4.3k
- Volume
- $71.6k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration43.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.327 | 0.235 | $1.2k | −$477.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.854Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$892.71at 0.604Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?
- +$262.78at 0.951Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
- +$183.26at 0.845Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?
- +$71.89at 0.676Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 00:13 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.261635931 | $1.0k |
| 04-24 23:52 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5067779286 | $700.00 |
| 02-13 16:30 | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BUY | 0.7789999969 | $125.00 |
| 01-30 15:03 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.7599999985 | $100.00 |
| 01-26 03:15 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.6759999989 | $150.00 |
| 01-17 21:20 | Rams vs. Bears | BUY | 0.649999999 | $100.00 |
| 01-17 21:19 | Bills vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.4699999985 | $100.00 |
| 04-19 20:10 | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BUY | 0.15 | $150.00 |
| 02-21 15:36 | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BUY | 0.2899999995 | $300.00 |
| 02-11 01:46 | Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX? | BUY | 0.002 | $50.00 |
| 02-10 04:54 | Kanye banned on X by Monday? | BUY | 0.0809999986 | $50.00 |
| 02-10 00:35 | Super Bowl LIX Winner | BUY | 0.3799999963 | $51.00 |
| 01-29 01:39 | Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence? | BUY | 0.5199999995 | $360.00 |
| 01-25 22:52 | Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence? | BUY | 0.6408615701 | $1000.00 |
| 01-25 22:52 | Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days? | BUY | 0.2989387286 | $500.00 |