PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x022C64C0C56Ef5789eF985DAE34A4f9A7E934873-1766949908478

0x022c64c0c56ef5789ef985dae34a4f9a7e934873

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$221.5k
Markets traded
159
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded159
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.6410.714$714.00+$72.81
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8440.860$429.75+$7.75
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.7600.815$326.00+$22.00
Romanian PM Bolojan out by October 31? · Yes0.5200.820$246.00+$90.00
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · Yes0.1700.160$160.00−$9.91
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? · Yes0.0500.045$45.00−$5.00
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL? · Yes0.0450.019$3.90−$5.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 10:01US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?SELL0.988041535$2.0k
10-13 16:58Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?SELL0.1270310203$42.34
10-13 15:43Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?SELL0.091753$18.35
10-13 14:57Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?BUY0.12518$12.52
10-12 06:54US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?BUY0.959$1.9k
10-12 06:48Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?SELL0.21$210.00
10-11 16:08Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?SELL0.1593142$159.31
10-11 09:02Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?BUY0.05$50.00
10-11 08:54US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?SELL0.95$1.9k
10-08 13:49Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?BUY0.16991315$339.83
10-08 10:50Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?BUY0.09427$9.43
10-07 06:37Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?SELL0.8792667$175.85
10-06 06:36Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?BUY0.1499999997$50.00
10-05 18:35Romanian PM Bolojan out by October 31?BUY0.52$156.00
10-05 18:29Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.0037219555$1.84