zaonieya
0x0228f08f2edfeb45adca21368bcb32d59507e7fc
- Realised P&L
- $-19.90
- Volume
- $17.9k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $99.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.102 | $50.94 | −$267.14 |
| Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.448 | 0.108 | $48.77 | −$153.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.01at 0.810Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
- +$17.67at 0.956Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
- +$11.25at 0.640Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$9.13at 0.496Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$6.76at 0.960Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 07:16 | Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3699999232 | $2.36 |
| 06-10 07:16 | Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3 | $0.90 |
| 05-22 10:15 | Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4695392759 | $190.68 |
| 03-16 12:46 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.5391384857 | $137.43 |
| 03-09 06:42 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.997 | $263.66 |
| 03-09 06:42 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $263.92 |
| 02-19 03:04 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.992 | $263.92 |
| 02-10 03:27 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.991 | $263.66 |
| 01-27 10:26 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $177.84 |
| 01-27 10:25 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8819999975 | $200.00 |
| 01-27 10:24 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.9424208557 | $483.51 |
| 01-27 10:22 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.9459999999 | $485.35 |
| 01-27 10:21 | Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.998 | $485.35 |
| 01-27 10:19 | Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.999 | $485.84 |
| 01-27 10:18 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.998 | $227.42 |