0x0222F335Af3169fCF35956F6dFc411d7f3611E76-1772478446481
0x0222f335af3169fcf35956f6dfc411d7f3611e76
- Realised P&L
- $-339.15
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $5.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.47at 0.548Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
- +$9.10at 0.354Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
- +$9.04at 0.410DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?
- +$7.77at 0.560S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9?
- +$7.64at 0.396Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 16:07 | Will Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.2410714172 | $15.00 |
| 08-12 16:07 | Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.074577744 | $15.00 |
| 06-08 19:48 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1589999972 | $46.86 |
| 06-05 06:26 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3780181742 | $187.11 |
| 04-03 16:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $9.05 |
| 04-03 16:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3604742965 | $10.89 |
| 03-16 17:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $4.87 |
| 03-16 17:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $4.87 |
| 03-16 17:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $4.86 |
| 03-16 16:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $22.69 |
| 03-16 16:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.8698521212 | $19.87 |
| 03-16 16:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | SELL | 0.6365381968 | $18.50 |
| 03-16 16:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $19.53 |
| 03-16 16:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $15.26 |
| 03-16 16:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $9.73 |