0x021C7Df18153E2636e368e85F0Cedb34C245232f-1767207000808
0x021c7df18153e2636e368e85f0cedb34c245232f
- Realised P&L
- $52.7k
- Volume
- $2.95M
- Markets traded
- 605
- Open portfolio
- $324.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded605
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tetairoa McMillan: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 · Over | 0.550 | 0.280 | $252.00 | −$243.00 |
| Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-1.5) · Las Vegas Aces | 0.520 | 0.410 | $72.16 | −$19.36 |
| Spread: South Dakota Coyotes (-3.5) · Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros · Minnesota Twins | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$693.60 |
| UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card) · Mandel Nallo | 0.617 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.3k |
| Spread: Thunder (-18.5) · Lakers | 0.534 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.4k |
| Roland Garros ATP: Kyrian Jacquet vs Marco Trungelliti · Kyrian Jacquet | 0.571 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.7k |
| Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-1.5) · Missouri Tigers | 0.512 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.2k |
| 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5) · Pistons | 0.527 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.3k |
| Ducks vs. Wild · Ducks | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$342.00 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins · Miami Marlins | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.1k |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) · Cavaliers | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.3k |
| Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-3.5) · Indiana Hoosiers | 0.542 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.1k |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants · San Francisco Giants | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.6k |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins · Minnesota Twins | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.8kat 0.397Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees
- +$7.0kat 0.387San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$7.0kat 0.467Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$6.7kat 0.477Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds
- +$6.6kat 0.482New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 19:41 | Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-1.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $91.52 |
| 10-04 19:00 | Tetairoa McMillan: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | BUY | 0.55 | $495.00 |
| 10-03 13:24 | Spread: Louisville (-3.5) | BUY | 0.55 | $549.99 |
| 10-03 13:22 | Spread: South Carolina (-2.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $1.3k |
| 10-01 22:32 | Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $637.00 |
| 09-27 13:00 | Spread: Jaguars (-2.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $539.99 |
| 09-24 16:14 | Spread: Packers (-5.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $1.2k |
| 09-23 14:28 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.54 | $1.3k |
| 09-20 14:18 | Spread: Chiefs (-6.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $539.99 |
| 09-20 14:18 | Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $520.00 |
| 09-20 14:17 | Spread: Eagles (-7.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $539.99 |
| 09-20 14:15 | Spread: Packers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $539.99 |
| 09-19 15:02 | Spread: LSU (-2.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $530.00 |
| 09-17 21:44 | Spread: Dallas Wings (-8.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $539.00 |
| 09-17 21:43 | Washington Mystics vs. Chicago Sky | BUY | 0.53 | $530.00 |