PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

OTP1

0x02173f53a29ea55bb8fd592cd120aeb2982e6b41

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$10.1k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$3.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar13.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration68.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.4530.630$805.35+$226.52
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.3690.535$583.46+$181.26
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.4000.920$439.93+$248.76
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.7590.815$326.00+$22.30
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.1460.262$311.11+$136.75
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.5520.700$266.24+$56.27
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes0.2700.390$187.20+$57.46
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.1670.320$140.40+$67.20
Spread: Thunder (-4.5) · Thunder0.4900.000$0.00$4.90
Spread: Thunder (-3.5) · Thunder0.5300.000$0.00$5.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-23 19:32Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.3915874864$740.01
04-17 13:26USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.647$4.53
04-01 08:37Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.26$143.00
04-01 08:35Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.48$192.00
04-01 08:35Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.1335062389$11.98
03-31 12:20Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.135$4.05
03-31 12:20Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.49$16.33
03-25 18:40Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.4$191.17
03-11 14:43Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.42$63.00
03-11 14:40Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.21$12.60
03-11 14:39Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.1483734177$37.51
03-11 14:38Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.144$1.44
03-11 14:36Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY0.28$112.00
03-10 20:24Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.5$130.00
03-10 20:03Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.4$167.20