OTP1
0x02173f53a29ea55bb8fd592cd120aeb2982e6b41
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.453 | 0.630 | $805.35 | +$226.52 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.369 | 0.535 | $583.46 | +$181.26 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No | 0.400 | 0.920 | $439.93 | +$248.76 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.759 | 0.815 | $326.00 | +$22.30 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.146 | 0.262 | $311.11 | +$136.75 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.552 | 0.700 | $266.24 | +$56.27 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.390 | $187.20 | +$57.46 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.167 | 0.320 | $140.40 | +$67.20 |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) · Thunder | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.90 |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) · Thunder | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$226.87at 0.272Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$52.00at 0.740Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?
- +$29.42at 0.890Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?
- +$12.75at 0.575Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$6.60at 0.780Jazz vs. 76ers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-23 19:32 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3915874864 | $740.01 |
| 04-17 13:26 | USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.647 | $4.53 |
| 04-01 08:37 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.26 | $143.00 |
| 04-01 08:35 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.48 | $192.00 |
| 04-01 08:35 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1335062389 | $11.98 |
| 03-31 12:20 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.135 | $4.05 |
| 03-31 12:20 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.49 | $16.33 |
| 03-25 18:40 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $191.17 |
| 03-11 14:43 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.42 | $63.00 |
| 03-11 14:40 | Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.21 | $12.60 |
| 03-11 14:39 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1483734177 | $37.51 |
| 03-11 14:38 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.144 | $1.44 |
| 03-11 14:36 | Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.28 | $112.00 |
| 03-10 20:24 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5 | $130.00 |
| 03-10 20:03 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4 | $167.20 |