PolyBot

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Traders

xiaoxiao2322

0x0213b7f5e92fcd0e2e556664513eec6261f131a8

Realised P&L
$-217.69
Volume
$44.1k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$34.75

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration70.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · Yes0.0150.008$34.75$30.41
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$196.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-18 06:36Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.956$578.38
07-10 02:35Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.957$578.99
06-22 03:23Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.85$536.35
06-10 06:23NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.8$390.40
06-02 12:39MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.007$196.00
06-02 11:23NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.83$405.04
04-28 03:03Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.8209999998$411.32
03-23 07:09Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?BUY0.63$188.04
03-12 06:27Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.945$461.16
03-12 06:06Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.945$461.16