BLAHBLAHBLAH-298
0x02102c95694e58aaacbc467284d87dc8ff774deb
- Realised P&L
- $-48.1k
- Volume
- $3.13M
- Markets traded
- 345
- Open portfolio
- $28.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded345
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · No | 0.981 | 0.998 | $8.7k | +$142.14 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No | 0.967 | 0.978 | $7.2k | +$77.39 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No | 0.940 | 0.935 | $6.6k | −$35.46 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No | 0.967 | 0.968 | $6.1k | +$8.62 |
| St. Tropez: Titouan Droguet vs Dino Prizmic · Dino Prizmic | 0.626 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.8k |
| Laver Cup: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur · Alexander Zverev | 0.887 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.7k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.2kat 0.600LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
- +$37.8kat 0.477England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$19.5kat 0.551Liberec: Jan Kumstat vs Sumit Nagal
- +$11.9kat 0.760Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
- +$11.4kat 0.677Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 17:23 | Laver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz | BUY | 0.77 | $1.0k |
| 09-26 17:23 | Laver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz | BUY | 0.76 | $652.63 |
| 09-26 17:22 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.983 | $363.71 |
| 09-26 17:22 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | SELL | 0.996 | $1.3k |
| 09-26 17:21 | Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | SELL | 0.9604860051 | $37.75 |
| 09-26 17:21 | Laver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz | BUY | 0.76 | $30.06 |
| 09-26 17:19 | Laver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz | BUY | 0.7595986488 | $10.2k |
| 09-26 16:52 | St. Tropez: Titouan Droguet vs Dino Prizmic | BUY | 0.6262489764 | $16.6k |
| 09-26 16:52 | St. Tropez: Titouan Droguet vs Dino Prizmic | SELL | 0.38 | $4.1k |
| 09-26 16:27 | St. Tropez: Titouan Droguet vs Dino Prizmic | BUY | 0.48 | $960.00 |
| 09-26 15:59 | St. Tropez: Titouan Droguet vs Dino Prizmic | BUY | 0.9075932774 | $8.1k |
| 09-26 15:23 | Laver Cup: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur | BUY | 0.889 | $1.3k |
| 09-26 15:22 | Laver Cup: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur | BUY | 0.88 | $52.98 |
| 09-26 15:22 | Laver Cup: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur | BUY | 0.88 | $139.31 |
| 09-26 15:21 | Plovdiv 4: Adrian Andreev vs Jonas Forejtek | SELL | 0.49 | $245.00 |