0x020d49132bff6432b4bde0f70de26ad080f2a8d6
0x020d49132bff6432b4bde0f70de26ad080f2a8d6
- Realised P&L
- $13.51
- Volume
- $52.84
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $3.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar25.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will El Salvador win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.275 | $1.59 | +$0.09 |
| El Salvador leading at halftime? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.215 | $1.47 | −$0.03 |
| Will Bogota FC win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Will América FC win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.53at 0.146Will Greece win on 2026-09-27?
- +$3.80at 0.290Will Nueva Chicago win on 2026-09-27?
- +$1.18at 0.567XRP Up or Down - September 24, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 01:00 | El Salvador leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.50 |
| 09-29 00:18 | Will El Salvador win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.50 |
| 09-28 22:04 | Will Bogota FC win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.50 |
| 09-28 22:02 | Will América FC win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.50 |
| 09-27 20:45 | Will Nueva Chicago win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.34 |
| 09-27 20:45 | Will Greece win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.98 |
| 09-27 18:24 | Will Greece win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 09-27 18:19 | Will Nueva Chicago win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.50 |
| 09-24 15:53 | XRP Up or Down - September 24, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.50 |