PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MrGrinche

0x020be1afa3227a565cdf01a538601bb8cb8a132e

Realised P&L
$-920.84
Volume
$20.0k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$244.80

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration74.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.040$244.80−$430.63
Will Meta have the top AI model on April 30? · Yes0.0810.000$0.00−$118.87
Will OpenAI release an open source model before July? · Yes0.7480.000$0.00−$80.00
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30? · Yes0.1740.000$0.00−$100.00
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva · Maja Chwalinska0.2100.000$0.00−$10.00
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$32.33
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? · Yes0.1830.000$0.00−$500.00
Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30? · Yes0.0930.000$0.00−$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 07:06Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?BUY0.13$28.60
09-08 07:01Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1162651457$157.37
09-08 06:46Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099678929$307.91
09-08 06:44Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$140.00
06-07 13:00Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?BUY0.1831859213$250.00
06-07 12:57Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?BUY0.1822230006$250.00
06-06 13:59Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra AndreevaBUY0.2099999861$10.00
04-15 17:18Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?BUY0.01233334$12.33
04-15 17:17Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?BUY0.012$20.00
11-18 18:49Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?BUY0.6$60.00
11-18 18:40Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?BUY0.6675008759$100.00
11-18 18:00Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?BUY0.4899999962$41.00
11-18 17:57Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?BUY0.4891303257$200.00
08-13 03:59Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?BUY0.79$102.70
04-05 19:34Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?BUY0.1119999059$1.00