Fgrw1221
0x02092e4b7e912c36bf8492b2a23b008e642f6989
- Realised P&L
- $-692.70
- Volume
- $8.4k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $123.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 5.5 · Yes | 0.309 | 0.499 | $123.92 | +$47.24 |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 7.5 · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5 · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$57.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.693 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.107 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.68 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 9.5 · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$53.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 12? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$222.36 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$104.97at 0.661Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 9?
- +$47.96at 0.777Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 8?
- +$42.55at 0.705Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 16?
- +$33.57at 0.482Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
- +$25.00at 0.500Solana Up or Down - August 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 12:09 | Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.3090729414 | $76.68 |
| 10-31 22:56 | Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 19:47 | Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5 | BUY | 0.3204429299 | $57.00 |
| 10-31 19:23 | Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.269999999 | $53.00 |
| 10-30 11:30 | Tre Johnson: Points O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.3383531783 | $100.00 |
| 09-18 15:24 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 09-18 14:37 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.732942295 | $45.00 |
| 09-18 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.7510334567 | $93.38 |
| 09-18 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.5585636914 | $70.00 |
| 09-18 11:31 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.3566381729 | $54.65 |
| 09-18 09:59 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.6525201601 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 11:33 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.6925194424 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 10:16 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.6940690329 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.6989079563 | $112.00 |
| 09-15 10:52 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.5077626993 | $68.47 |