0x02089001901af54cca4e8048359bddc2d00e8d2c
0x02089001901af54cca4e8048359bddc2d00e8d2c
- Realised P&L
- $5.95
- Volume
- $30.91
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $20.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar19.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration53.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.450 | 1.000 | $11.11 | +$6.11 |
| Will Uganda win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.491 | 0.485 | $4.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.505 | $4.86 | −$0.14 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 21:21 | Will Uganda win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.4909855061 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 21:18 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 18:27 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |