0x02047cce7f53cc7f9b753254881e5e88df5ae395
- Realised P&L
- $103.26
- Volume
- $818.64
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $76.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.515 | 0.424 | $51.12 | −$10.87 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? · No | 0.370 | 0.685 | $9.26 | +$4.26 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on August 7? · No | 0.700 | 0.420 | $9.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? · No | 0.570 | 0.555 | $6.82 | −$0.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.50at 0.721Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$21.42at 0.507Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?
- +$5.80at 0.600Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 1?
- +$5.13at 0.780S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 30?
- +$4.23at 0.583Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 10:51 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on August 7? | SELL | 0.24 | $3.06 |
| 08-07 10:19 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on August 7? | BUY | 0.7 | $15.00 |
| 08-07 01:59 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on August 7? | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 01:43 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on August 7? | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 21:27 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $77 on August 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.46 |
| 08-06 21:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | SELL | 0.25 | $1.14 |
| 08-06 21:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.4399999296 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 21:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | BUY | 0.2899999478 | $3.00 |
| 08-06 20:39 | Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? | BUY | 0.57 | $7.00 |
| 08-06 17:47 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $77 on August 6? | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 13:43 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.6099999959 | $6.00 |
| 08-06 13:21 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 6? | SELL | 0.21 | $2.56 |
| 08-06 13:16 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.4099999836 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 15:31 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.81 |
| 08-05 02:01 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.6799999955 | $6.00 |