0x02047cce7f53cc7f9b753254881e5e88df5ae395
0x02047cce7f53cc7f9b753254881e5e88df5ae395
- Realised P&L
- $66.65
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 130
- Open portfolio
- $79.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded130
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.515 | 0.549 | $66.12 | +$4.12 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 29? · Up | 0.670 | 0.645 | $13.48 | −$0.52 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 28? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$89.87at 0.734Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$20.61at 0.525Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?
- +$12.26at 0.455Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?
- +$12.15at 0.243Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 14-20?
- +$8.51at 0.378Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 11:47 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 29? | BUY | 0.6699999966 | $14.00 |
| 09-28 02:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 21:01 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | SELL | 0.999 | $22.70 |
| 09-26 01:18 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 15:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 25? | SELL | 0.996 | $7.21 |
| 09-25 15:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 14:14 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 14:12 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 25? | SELL | 0.44 | $4.63 |
| 09-25 11:52 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 10:27 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 25? | SELL | 0.23 | $4.34 |
| 09-24 21:02 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 20:04 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $6.00 |
| 09-24 20:01 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.14 |
| 09-24 18:54 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24? | BUY | 0.5599999496 | $4.00 |
| 09-24 17:55 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.55 |