zephyrax
0x01fbed1482060428cec2146c518d1c28a256208e
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $254.4k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.020 | $3.1k | +$191.64 |
| Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$499.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.300Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$1.7kat 0.500Canada vs. USA
- +$176.43at 0.115Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
- +$-1.9kat 0.077Will US leave NATO by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 18:49 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.018 | $947.53 |
| 05-11 18:43 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.018 | $1000.00 |
| 04-29 01:36 | Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.0411049954 | $500.00 |
| 04-29 00:07 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0205095902 | $1000.00 |
| 05-30 04:45 | Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.4862739708 | $3.4k |
| 03-19 17:48 | Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.115177193 | $3.2k |
| 03-19 17:46 | Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | SELL | 0.5210624629 | $3.2k |
| 03-11 17:22 | Will US leave NATO by June 30? | BUY | 0.0771050277 | $2.0k |
| 03-11 17:21 | Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.9k |
| 02-23 19:40 | Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.3k |
| 02-21 01:18 | Canada vs. USA | BUY | 0.5 | $1.7k |
| 02-21 01:14 | Canada vs. USA | BUY | 0.5 | $7.00 |