PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

GlitchyWaffle

0x01fb0a0426b9913f4a259a427d45d967d99155ed

Realised P&L
$-393.50
Volume
$28.1k
Markets traded
275
Open portfolio
$276.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded275
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9320.956$100.71+$2.55
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? · No0.8000.825$41.25+$1.25
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? · Yes0.5400.655$32.75+$5.75
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.2170.205$30.75−$1.75
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? · Yes0.2800.245$24.50−$3.50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.6700.175$17.50−$49.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? · Yes0.2350.175$17.50−$6.00
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0510.042$4.15−$0.90
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0410.072$3.63+$1.57
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in October? · Yes0.4700.540$2.70+$0.35
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yes0.0210.013$0.67−$0.37
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 8? · Up0.0900.000$0.00−$2.79
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 3 Senegal? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 1? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 21:12Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?BUY0.8$40.00
10-04 09:41Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?BUY0.54$27.00
10-02 11:39Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?BUY0.27$13.50
10-02 04:25Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?BUY0.29$14.50
10-02 00:00Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?BUY0.24$12.00
10-01 20:16Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?BUY0.23$11.50
10-01 18:53Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in October?BUY0.47$2.35
09-29 02:51Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?SELL0.004$0.40
09-28 03:53Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.67$33.50
09-28 03:46Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?SELL0.029$0.29
09-28 02:36Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.67$33.50
09-27 21:01Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.22$11.00
09-27 01:33Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.21$10.50
09-26 22:53Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?SELL0.057$2.85
09-26 20:41Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?SELL0.053$2.65