PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ThePureGenius

0x01f4c267f80167343fe36759ca4c05f10a9bd22d

Realised P&L
$-946.14
Volume
$62.0k
Markets traded
115
Open portfolio
$25.07

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded115
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · Yes0.0800.070$8.75$1.25
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2070.065$6.27$13.73
Modi out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1080.057$5.28$4.72
Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes0.1390.048$3.43$6.57
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1180.016$1.35$8.65
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$20.00
Will all Love Is Blind S9 finale couples get married? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$5.00
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$100.00
Pakistan strikes Kabul by December 31? · Yes0.1050.000$0.00$10.00
Will Base launch a token in 2025? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$20.00
Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$20.00
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$15.00
Kash Patel out by July 31? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July? · Yes0.6700.000$0.00$100.00
Dogecoin all time high before 2026? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-30 19:48China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2074483784$20.00
12-06 05:23Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in December?BUY0.05$10.00
12-06 05:22Will Solana reach $210 in December?BUY0.0285433606$10.00
12-06 05:20Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
12-06 05:20Will a hurricane form by May 31?BUY0.2331027866$50.00
11-24 06:50Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1080480261$10.00
11-24 06:49Iran Nuke before 2027?BUY0.1386138497$10.00
11-24 06:47Pakistan strikes Kabul by December 31?BUY0.1051092575$10.00
11-24 06:47USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.1583339411$10.00
11-24 06:46Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?BUY0.1199999899$10.00
11-08 07:34Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?BUY0.1181916575$10.00
11-08 07:29D4vd arrested by December 31?BUY0.179999987$10.00
10-27 22:05Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?BUY0.001$1.00
10-27 22:05100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?BUY0.0219999787$1.00
10-27 22:04Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?BUY0.0840000007$10.00