AidanSchroeder565
0x01f039aabd5f1a158fefa4c994e222ddc3d459c0
- Realised P&L
- $0.02
- Volume
- $373.74
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $19.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cameron Carr win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · No | 0.998 | 0.999 | $11.51 | +$0.01 |
| Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $5.20 | −$0.00 |
| Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $2.50 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.03at 0.997Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
- +$0.02at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
- +$0.02at 0.998Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
- +$0.02at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
- +$0.01at 0.998Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 21:25 | Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.50 |
| 08-09 11:12 | Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.20 |
| 07-29 16:05 | Will Cameron Carr win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.50 |
| 07-29 12:55 | Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.996 | $7.59 |
| 07-16 21:49 | Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.9969999997 | $7.60 |
| 07-13 06:03 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.997 | $5.19 |
| 07-13 06:03 | Will Cătălin Drulă be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.995 | $7.56 |
| 07-08 11:40 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $5.20 |
| 07-06 03:05 | Will Cătălin Drulă be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.60 |
| 06-29 14:47 | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 14:47 | Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.998 | $7.30 |
| 06-22 10:12 | Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.30 |
| 06-03 06:52 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.90 |
| 05-24 17:40 | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.00 |
| 05-21 23:51 | Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.50 |