0x01eeC97574d0454F4bB1f7f77Dee079e9880B9df-1781081362676
0x01eec97574d0454f4bb1f7f77dee079e9880b9df
- Realised P&L
- $616.30
- Volume
- $43.1k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $877.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$390.81at 0.016Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$105.77at 0.258Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$98.95at 0.062Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$60.64at 0.165Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-14.20at 0.286Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 10:22 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $30.00 |
| 09-13 09:56 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.024 | $216.00 |
| 09-11 17:47 | Will Gabriel Attal, but not Édouard Philippe, be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1198853962 | $66.97 |
| 09-11 17:45 | Will both Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1679998 | $16.80 |
| 09-11 17:34 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0186602918 | $59.73 |
| 09-11 17:11 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.059053382 | $568.11 |
| 09-11 16:48 | Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.2140670229 | $38.45 |
| 09-04 16:25 | Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.5724281971 | $22.68 |
| 08-17 13:35 | Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 08-17 13:25 | Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $18.66 |
| 07-14 18:51 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.372 | $115.52 |
| 07-09 22:17 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0155920527 | $150.00 |
| 07-09 22:10 | Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.5499999956 | $50.00 |
| 07-09 22:08 | Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2783300161 | $50.00 |
| 07-09 22:01 | Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0677380606 | $50.00 |