fermisun
0x01ec294b68f2dd56e279102a4703247d6953585a
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $145.5k
- Markets traded
- 239
- Open portfolio
- $212.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded239
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$562.99at 0.405Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-10?
- +$466.57at 0.399Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-07?
- +$454.02at 0.474Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?
- +$404.41at 0.340Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-19?
- +$385.51at 0.424Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 17:52 | Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-05? | SELL | 0.9826323076 | $503.91 |
| 10-05 17:30 | Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.3899999999 | $200.00 |
| 10-05 17:29 | Will Cyprus vs. Latvia end in a draw? | SELL | 0.51 | $145.71 |
| 10-05 17:29 | Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-05? | SELL | 0.36 | $181.92 |
| 10-05 17:20 | Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.4 | $60.00 |
| 10-05 17:19 | Will Cyprus vs. Latvia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3499999997 | $100.00 |
| 10-05 16:31 | Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.65 | $209.04 |
| 10-05 16:31 | Will France win on 2026-10-05? | SELL | 0.66 | $216.71 |
| 10-05 16:03 | Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.6499999997 | $119.42 |
| 10-05 15:58 | Will France win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.6699999999 | $220.00 |
| 10-05 15:51 | Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.4 | $150.00 |
| 10-02 19:08 | Will Sweden win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.3799999996 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 18:59 | Will Sweden win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.4 | $300.00 |
| 10-02 18:54 | Will Sweden win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.4411004785 | $355.85 |
| 09-28 20:38 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.88 | $419.05 |