Athonite
0x01e9a9c017e3ddf450dcc4e26004d5832c253b95
- Realised P&L
- $-498.79
- Volume
- $40.1k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $288.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$315.16at 0.084Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?
- +$295.91at 0.390Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$149.18at 0.214Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
- +$128.57at 0.280Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?
- +$116.94at 0.361Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 12:50 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.117938553 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 17:27 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.32 | $100.00 |
| 09-26 12:28 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.2497003596 | $50.00 |
| 09-25 15:04 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1199999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 13:25 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 14:08 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.7792751391 | $222.65 |
| 09-10 16:53 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.3499999997 | $100.00 |
| 09-06 14:22 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.6277310811 | $371.62 |
| 09-04 18:45 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.08 | $47.36 |
| 08-23 11:41 | Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1348581292 | $50.00 |
| 08-23 06:59 | Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | SELL | 0.0119650837 | $8.55 |
| 08-23 06:59 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $96.47 |
| 08-08 17:08 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $96.47 |
| 07-10 00:24 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.16 | $64.35 |
| 07-10 00:23 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5224999997 | $100.00 |