Kaupgaldr
0x01e948dac58f7bf183e207866127912adb455250
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $251.4k
- Markets traded
- 467
- Open portfolio
- $942.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded467
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week? · No | 0.686 | 0.850 | $582.56 | +$112.15 |
| Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? · Yes | 0.262 | 0.380 | $160.76 | +$50.00 |
| Will "The Gentlemen: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? · No | 0.872 | 0.965 | $77.20 | +$7.40 |
| Will "The Whisper Man" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? · No | 0.470 | 0.560 | $70.73 | +$11.37 |
| Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? · No | 0.180 | 0.175 | $21.00 | −$0.60 |
| Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top global Netflix movie this week? · No | 0.516 | 0.540 | $18.62 | +$0.83 |
| Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.135 | $9.21 | −$2.39 |
| Will "The Seemingly Perfect Family" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.387 | $1.94 | +$1.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$487.91at 0.147Will "MLB Opening Night: Yankees vs. Giants" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$362.31at 0.452Will "Anaconda" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
- +$323.52at 0.340Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
- +$322.45at 0.036Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
- +$258.04at 0.393Will "Apex" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 14:40 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | SELL | 0.8525925926 | $368.32 |
| 09-18 14:37 | Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.17 | $11.60 |
| 09-18 14:36 | Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.18 | $21.60 |
| 09-18 12:43 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.73 | $146.00 |
| 09-18 12:41 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.7214285714 | $101.00 |
| 09-18 11:36 | Will "The Gentlemen: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.8725 | $69.80 |
| 09-18 11:20 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.62 |
| 09-18 11:19 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.2777777778 | $50.00 |
| 09-18 11:09 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.25 | $31.25 |
| 09-18 11:02 | Will "The Whisper Man" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.47 | $59.36 |
| 09-18 11:02 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.2489253838 | $27.89 |
| 09-18 11:01 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.515800464 | $17.78 |
| 09-15 13:02 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.997 | $437.67 |
| 09-15 12:45 | Will "The Whisper Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.9967607285 | $445.49 |
| 09-15 12:43 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.9958827221 | $253.90 |