PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

JustADonk

0x01e6e3c5cfe50943e7721398054cb1e22032e7e0

Realised P&L
$225.1k
Volume
$17.76M
Markets traded
1,606
Open portfolio
$251.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,606
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5000.595$133.9k+$21.4k
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.5000.405$91.1k$21.4k
Will Miami FL have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · O 10.50.6300.700$3.6k+$358.26
Lions vs. Bills · Bills0.6800.675$3.0k$22.50
Will Caedrel Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award? · No0.7400.695$1.8k$113.63
Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 3? · No0.8550.962$1.5k+$163.34
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · Tampa Bay Rays0.4190.425$1.1k+$14.28
Will the Bears win the season series against the Vikings during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.7100.640$995.20$108.85
Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 5? · No0.7330.927$990.63+$207.67
Will Omar Cooper Jr. have 499.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.5500.605$843.98+$76.73
Will the Eagles win the season series against the Giants during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.4760.330$766.26$338.30
Will North Carolina have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · Yes0.5100.540$742.50+$41.25
Will Kansas have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · No0.5580.600$604.20+$42.40
Will Trevor Lawrence have 3,774.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.5000.450$564.75$62.75
Will Virginia have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · No0.4040.350$493.50$76.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 00:01Boston Red Sox vs. Texas RangersBUY0.51$433.50
09-16 23:30Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)BUY0.38$253.08
09-16 23:30Boston Red Sox vs. Texas RangersBUY0.51$433.50
09-16 17:53Lions vs. BillsBUY0.68$3.1k
09-16 16:52Will Indiana have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?SELL0.54$10.80
09-16 16:52Will Indiana have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?SELL0.5355434783$49.27
09-16 03:01Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)BUY0.78$233.22
09-16 00:03Boston Red Sox vs. Texas RangersBUY0.56$809.20
09-15 23:47Boston Red Sox vs. Texas RangersBUY0.56$1.4k
09-15 23:47Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)BUY0.37$120.78
09-15 18:23Will the Lions win the season series against the Bears during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.11$3.09
09-15 18:23Will the season series between the Bears and Lions end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.3$6.00
09-15 18:23Will the season series between the Bears and Lions end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.28$11.20
09-15 17:05Will NightBirds Win Hitpoint Masters 2026 SummerBUY0.51$6.20
09-15 17:05Will NightBirds Win Hitpoint Masters 2026 SummerBUY0.5$520.00