ql8
0x01dac59b5fc0f8adddb47455ab2d4e0ba6bbb456
- Realised P&L
- $-91.68
- Volume
- $9.4k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October? · No | 0.970 | 0.974 | $1.0k | +$3.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$79.67at 0.904Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$17.95at 0.982Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
- +$7.58at 0.985Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
- +$6.48at 0.994Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?
- +$4.86at 0.992Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 09:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.0k |
| 09-26 03:21 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.1363343836 | $34.62 |
| 09-14 11:39 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $253.14 |
| 09-14 11:38 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.9808213431 | $955.31 |
| 08-01 04:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.2k |
| 07-01 13:16 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $743.85 |
| 07-01 13:15 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July? | BUY | 0.996 | $378.48 |
| 06-04 03:10 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June? | BUY | 0.994 | $1.1k |
| 05-05 10:09 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.1k |
| 04-01 12:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | BUY | 0.985 | $49.19 |
| 04-01 06:10 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $602.84 |
| 03-27 10:07 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $599.83 |
| 03-27 10:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March? | BUY | 0.999 | $499.50 |